Robin Hanson over at Overcoming Bias relates a recent anecdote about trying to get a helpful answer out of ChatGPT. He got what sounded to me at first pass like a helpful answer, but he wanted more. To topic is The Rise and Fall of Modern Abstractions
When I first asked ChaptGPT about this it put the peak as roughly 1880-1930. It explained the rise in terms of new research needs and opportunities, the availability of new data and tools, and easier communication. It explained the fall in terms of diminishing returns, increasing scale and funding forcing specialization, an information explosion, and the rise of new communication tools and field specific tools. That is, similar factors to those it used to explain the rise.
I then suggested that these sounded like excuses...
He asks better questions, then challenges the AI why didn't you tell me this the first time? And then How do I get you to give me that answer first next time? Fun ending.
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