Monday, September 16, 2024

Political Links from AVI 2009

A few of these are still pertinent, some still have similar arguments in play, others are early examples of things I discussed with more clarity later.

Remember the supposed 47M uninsured we kept hearing about? NH Sen. Judd Gregg had the simplest answer.

Performance Versus Promises, Obama Edition.  Such things apply to most politicians, but he was particularly bad.

Political Archetype. Obama as Kwisatz Haderach 

The importance of fashion to liberals

The Democrats had controlled the House of Representatives nearly my entire life. Pretty much the next 15 years as well. I include Senate and Presidency numbers as well, including what is meant by "controlled" depending on news source.

How NPR reported economic issues.  I don't know what they've done since, but I would bet that anecdotes are still king.

I don't think anyone still reads True Patriot anymore, but the underlying concepts are still present, and still torque me off. I re-review the book.  

Comment here, not there, on all of them.

Saturday, September 14, 2024

All-Time Leadoff

I wrote about historical baseball statistics from time to time in the early years of this blog.  I barely mention it now.  I kept up with Mike Trout's numbers until a few years ago, but injuries are going to eat into his lifetime totals, as often happens.

I wrote this about Pete Rose in 2009, and as he kept inserting himself into discussions about Jeter and Ichiro - Rose wants to be the bride at every wedding - I kicked him again in later years. But I think this will do for all of them, and focuses on one of my favorite players as well.

*********

Sportswriters have to write something down, find a new angle that other people aren't writing about, so they sometimes back themselves into these corners just for controversy's sake. I get that. Still, you are responsible for what you write, ultimately, so you don't have a good excuse if you write something stupid. 

When Rickey Henderson was just elected to the Hall of Fame, lots of people referred to him as the greatest leadoff hitter ever. That could be true. But just for controversy, ESPN suggested that Pete Rose might be a better leadoff hitter. Please, no. Let's not even have that discussion. I admit I have always liked to kick Pete Rose because he's a jerk, but this is just not an intelligent conversation. And the easiest way to illustrate that to you is to compare Rose to a player that you would never in a hundred years consider the best leadoff hitter of all time, and see that Rose loses that comparison. Carl Yastrzemski would be a better leadoff hitter for your all-star team than Pete Rose. I am not joshing you here. 

 Their careers overlapped almost entirely, eliminating the need to make cross-era comparisons. Everyone gets excited by Rose's 4000+ hits and .300+ batting average, so they figure that of course you would bat him leadoff over Yaz. But you wouldn't. We now know that on-base percentage is a more valuable number than batting average, and Rose is behind Yaz, .379 - .375. Those walks add up over time, and Rose didn't walk much. Yaz did. 300 times more in his career. Sure it looks really cool, with Charlie Hustle running down to first base on a walk, with the announcers cooing about how he gets on base any way he can, but in strict point of fact, he didn't actually get on base more than Yaz. Once on base, both of them tried to steal some bases and shouldn't have bothered. We now know that stolen bases are only valuable is you make it 70% of the time, and neither approached that. Yaz stole 168 in 284 attempts, for a 59% average. Rose was worse, stealing 198 out of 347 for 57%. 

I am, you will notice, comparing them only as leadoff hitters. I am comparing Rose's strength to Yaz out of place in the lineup, and Rose still loses. It gets worse. If you made Carl Yastrzemski bat leadoff his whole career, if you told him that getting on base was more important to your team than power, do you think he might have done just a bit better still? Already leading Rose in the most important categories, wouldn't he start to pull away even more? At least 40 more AB per season, too. It adds up. Of course, with Yaz you get power, too. 100 fewer doubles, 80 fewer triples, and 260 more home runs. Pete Rose is not in the conversation for best leadoff hitter of all time.

Populus Vult Decipi, Decipiatur

"The people wish to be deceived, let them be deceived."

Christian Reunion


I had never read this essay nor known about it until today.  I like it.


Friday, September 13, 2024

On The Off Chance

On the off chance any of you are interested in this conference or its sponsoring group, I pass along what I just received a few minutes ago. I met Joe Ricke at the Montreat Conference I went to a couple of years ago.


Inkling Folk Fellowship

15 September 2024


International Congress on Medieval Studies

Friends,

Every year at the International Congress on Medieval Studies, we sponsor two sessions on C. S. Lewis and the Middle Ages. This roughly means we look for papers about Lewis's thought and work that show the influence of and respond to medieval sources, ideas, etc. But there is some "wiggle room," as one might expect, about how this is interpreted. Here are proposals due for this year. One is on "chivalry" and the other is on "grief." They have been posted and shared elsewhere, but, because the deadline is Sept 15 (or 3 a.m. Sept 16, EST), I am sending them out through various channels today.

Thanks,
Joe Ricke

 

Call for proposals
C. S. Lewis and the Middle Ages Sessions
@ 60th International Congress on Medieval Studies (Western Michigan University)
May 8-10, 2025

 

Session One: "Lewis and Chivalry" We are looking for 3-4 scholarly papers that consider this aspect of Lewis's work especially in the context of his medieval scholarship and/or his creative medievalism.  

Rationale:  
In August 1940, just weeks after the beginning of the Battle of Britain, C. S. Lewis published an essay in Time and Tide about the medieval concept of "chivalry." "What," he asked, "is the relevance of this ideal to the modern world?" We propose a session which both analyzes the concept (as Lewis understood it) and its relevance to his life and work, as well as to our understanding and interpretations of his fiction, poetry, literary criticism, biography, and cultural criticism. We seek papers which interpret, apply, and/or criticize Lewisian "chivalry." We expect, as usual, an excellent discussion within the panel and with the larger audience.

 

Session Two: "The Problem of Grief." We are looking for 3-4 scholarly papers that consider this aspect of Lewis's work in the context of his medieval scholarship or creative medievalism.

Rationale:  
Recognized and "lionized" for his visions of hope and happy-endings, C. S. Lewis, the medievalist, maintained a tender sensitivity to and robust appreciation for the reality and problem of human grieving. In essays, both personal (like A Grief Observed) or more philosophical (like The Problem of Pain), in literary criticism, science fiction, and in children's fantasy, Lewis does not shy away either from death and suffering itself or from the multi-layered human response we call grief. This session seeks papers linking Lewis's treatment of grief with his medievalist roots, demonstrating not just his own relevance but that of his medieval sources.

 

Deadline for Submission of Proposals/Abstracts: Sunday, September 15, 2024

 

To submit, you will need to use and learn to navigate the Congress portal (look for "Sponsored and Special Sessions of Papers," find the title "C. S. Lewis and the Middle Ages (1): Chivalry" or "C. S. Lewis and the Middle Ages (1): Grief," and begin your submission. https://icms.confex.com/icms/2025/cfp.cgi

 

If you've attended the ICMS, you know why you should do it in 2025. If you haven't, come and find out why (Lewis, Tolkien, Dante, Aquinas, Francis, performances, Marie de France, Beowulf, Cistercian Studies, Julian of Norwich, Shakespeare, Chaucer, dramatic readings, medieval music, etc.).  Final afternoon highlight is the Pseudo-Society, a paper session of three outlandish parodies of medieval scholarly presentations/bad powerpoints. If you can't find something to interest you in every time slot, I will buy you a coffee in the Student Union.

 

For questions, information, or help with the process), contact jsricke@outlook.com

 

Note: The sessions are live not virtual.


logo 2022

Inkling Folk Fellowship, 412 West Klein St, Seguin, TX

Tuesday, September 10, 2024

Self-Control Again

I wrote about the Fable of Self Control about three weeks ago. Fun comments.  I came across a site that looks at the research on this a lot, the Nature-Nurture-Nietzsche Newsletter.  This article says that self-control is about 60% heritable. I didn't yet read the other articles on the page, but they look interesting.

Cracking the Autism Code?

It was an intriguing link over at Maggie's so I went to Scientists Make History by Cracking the Autism Code over at earth.com.  I am not much wiser after reading it. It still looks intriguing.  As copy-number variations are the most common type of mutations, tracking those down to find possible autism correlates makes sense.

It all has the feel of overclaiming, however, and the other articles in the sidebar over at that site look even more like overclaiming from limited data. However, I'm keeping this information in the back of my head rather than discarding it.  Might be something to it.

Monday, September 09, 2024

Factoring In Pleasure

 There is no safe amount of alcohol. BBC News.

They found that out of 100,000 non-drinkers, 914 would develop an alcohol-related health problem such as cancer* or suffer an injury.

But an extra four people would be affected if they drank one alcoholic drink a day.

AFFECTED! Quelle Horreur! Four of 'em.

It gets worse.  There is no safe level of skiing, not even at Aspen or Davos Klosters. No safe level of lacrosse or sailing. No safe level of biking, even on a rail trail. No safe level of driving, not even a Prius.

People have cooking accidents, gardening accidents, sewing accidents, going to church or even staying home from church accidents. Aquariums. Growing a beard. Smothered in hats and cloaks. Will the madness never end?  No, it won't. From "The Studies Show" (transcript),** about factoring in pleasure:

When I said a term in your equation, I'm completely serious. If you don't have a term in your equation for this is has value of some kind then even the tiniest little negligible risk outweighs all the benefits because you haven't put a term in for the benefits right,  benefits are zero so even a risk of minus zero point zero zero zero zero zero zero zero one or something outweighs them so therefore there is no safe level of drinking and we should not do it.

And

 Saying we should reduce the (alcohol) guidelines is complete and utter bollocks.

See also, guns.  Guns for hunting, self-defense, targets, collecting.  I am something of an extremist in this case, because I think you should be able to have them even if you just like things that go boom, or look nice on the wall. I suppose it's a bit of a stretch to call self-defense a pleasure, exactly, but not being able to defend yourself would certainly qualify as un-pleasant, one would think. I'm one who doesn't think you need a big reason to do something you like. A small reason will do. 

In legal wrangles, it is often important to note right at the outset which side the burden of proof is on.  The burden of proof should be on those who want to limit a right, not those who want to exercise it.

* ? That seems a bit of stretch itself, even if there is something to it. Stick with livers, car accidents, fights, and falling over, I think.

**Also, they mentioned me this week just before the 24-minute mark. Thanks, guys.

Ceraunophile

"Ceraun" comes to us from the Greek word Keraunos, which means “thunderbolt.” A ceraunophile, then, is a lover of thunder and lightning, or someone who loves thunderstorms.

Child 200

Originally from 2009 

Tone matters greatly. I have long been familiar with Steeleye Span’s “Black Jack Davy,” the story of a wealthy 18th C woman who leaves her husband and runs away with a poor gypsy. Listen a bit, even if you aren’t a fan of Steeleye.

I knew that there were related versions – Gypsy Davy, Gipsie Laddie, Raggle-Taggle Gypsies, and that these tended to be folkier. I guessed it must be in Child’s Ballads, and likely had some obscurer versions.

Had I but thought it through. There are dozens of versions, Scots, Borderer, Scots-Irish, Irish. In some, it is a daughter that runs off from a lord; in others, the gypsy does turn out to be wealthy after all. Of course it crossed the water and came to Appalachia, taking on American versions and names: Harrison Brady, and When Carnal came to Arkansas. There weren’t any gypsies in America then, or darned few, so the reference had to be changed to some more general traveling romantic figure.

And I never connected it to this well-known song at all, because the tone is so different. Only when I specifically listened for it could I tell that the tunes are similar, the rhythm very similar.
Back in my folkie days, BTW, the running joke about anyone claiming to be big was “well, he had a few beers and sang with Tommy Makem” because everyone had had a few beers and sung with Tommy Makem. When my younger brother got married, I stopped using the joke, as his wife was the best friend of Tommy Makem’s daughter.

The migration to the New World by the Scots-Irish and Borderers in the mid-18th C gives us an opportunity to observe what happens to folk songs left on their own, as there is no possible contact between the tunes and lyrics over 200 years. John Jacob Niles, the folksong collector they named the UK American Music Center after, compared the variants between the Appalachian songs and the Child Ballads in his Ballad Book in the early 60’s.


This theme of the wealthy woman running off with a poor man must have struck something deep in the psyche, as it not only shows up in these 80 versions of Child 200, but in The Royal Forester, Lady Diamond, and heck, even “Uptown Girl” has it. Princesses kissing frogs has some similarity. Orpheus and Eurydice. So – did it actually happen that often (the running off that is, not the frog-kissing), or is it a song that reflects the male fantasy/fear of this happening? It may represent milder and more common experiences of slumming or marrying down, made extreme for artistic reasons, or for warning. The versions Frozen Charlotte and The Gypsy’s Warning would certainly suggest this is in play. Poor men pine after high-born women; rich men fear their wives or daughters will run off with some irresponsible charmer. Actually, it’s not entirely a masculine objection. Mothers also fear their daughters will run off with a handsome ne’er-do-well. Which versions did the women prefer? I imagine that is mixed, depending on whether it is oneself who might be running off versus a female relative considering it. Maddy Prior's comment at the beginning of the Black Jack Davy video sums this up nicely.

We have the mirror phenomenon of the poor woman and the better-off man in more modern music: Rag Doll, My Fair Lady, and the theme shows up in the story of Cinderella. But Cinderella is always hardworking and poor, not some charming fancy for boys to follow. Ah well, they have the Queen of the Faeries stories for that, I suppose. The story in reverse seems much less common in the Child Ballads, though we know that the action of lords and earls marrying dance-hall girls or milkmaids is recorded rather frequently in history.

Sunday, September 08, 2024

Beowulf Goes To Tim Horton's

Originally from June 2009.

HWÆT, we cupdena in geardagum,
þeodcyninga þrym gedruncnung,
hu ða æþelingas ellen fremedon!
oft Scyld Scefing spittena latte,
monegum mæxwellhus meodosetla ofteah,
donutas duncin, syððanærest wearð
folgers funden; he þæs frofre gecaffeina,
nescafe under nestle weorðmyndum þah,
oð þæt him æghwylc ymbstarbucra
æt hillsbrothers hyran scolde,
gevalia gyldan; þæt wæs god kaffe!

Wednesday, September 04, 2024

Post 10,001: The Winner Takes It All

Well, almost did it. Granite Dad suggested that Post 10,000 be an ABBA song.  He thought that was obvious. I don't think I have ever posted this one.

Bjorn and Agnetha both deny that the song is about their divorce.  I'm not sure anyone believes them.

Post 10,000: Ephemerality and Permanence

Long, long ago, in a decade far away - before the 90s - we thought of the internet as changeable, impermanent.  If you got something published on the internet, so what? Newspapers and magazines were the thing, and books even more.  You get a book published, man, now you've made it.  It might be that it was quickly remaindered, or put in the stacks of the library (we did not acknowledge that libraries weeded books then, that was a secret known only to librarians). But it was solid. Someone somewhere would keep copies, and there was always a chance that a hundred years later someone would pick it up, and remember you. Books were in a small way indestructible. My parents would regard a book as being "really" published. But gradually we came to say "the internet is forever," meaning that what you said could be brought back to haunt you and there was no getting away from it. Moving to another town might not help.

When I go back to the posts from earlier years to consider whether I want to repost them, or even just see what I said about a subject, many of the old links no longer go anywhere, not even to a website that still exists. A lot of the pictures are gone, some replaceable, some not. Some I can't even remember what they were myself. The internet is not forever either.  Nor are books. Newspapers and magazines are nostalgic curiosities now. 

The writings preserved from thousands of years ago are mostly records of trade, or of gifts between kings, or of conquests. Statements to or about gods, curses or good-luck symbols, laws and proclamations. Only later do we get anything like annals or stories. Admittedly, there is internal evidence that those stories and histories stretch back earlier, before writing. Yet we likely remember only one person in a million, one story in a million, one battle in a million. Ozymandias, Ramesses II, just barely got remembered, though he reigned for decades and we still have his mummy. Well-Behaved Women Seldom Make History? Lady, no one makes history. Vanity, Vanity, all is Vanity, saith the prophet. I grant that it is even worse for women.

So what is permanent, then? I learned decades ago from CS Lewis something that shocked me at the time (though I immediately saw the truth that had been invisible to me for years, once he had said it) in "The Weight of Glory," that nations, and denominations, and families, and legacies, and DNA, and schools, and even ideas, so beloved of those of us who blog and hope our ideas might one day ascend to some permanency, are not only eventually outlasted, but will eventually be revealed as ephemeral, as mere wisps that we barely recall.  It is we who are permanent, and that is not only comforting but frightening, like being in water up past your neck, so that you have to stand on tiptoe to survive.

Or go under the waves and be baptised.

 "You come of the Lord Adam and the Lady Eve," said Aslan. "And that is both honour enough to erect the head of the poorest beggar, and shame enough to bow the shoulders of the greatest emperor on earth. Be content." Aslan, in Prince Caspian

But back to "The Weight of Glory," perhaps the greatest essay of the 20th C.

For you must not think that I am putting forward any heathen fancy of being absorbed into Nature. Nature is mortal; we shall outlive her. When all the suns and nebulae havepassed away, each one of you will still be alive. Nature is only the image, the symbol; but it is the symbol Scripture invites me to use. We are summoned to pass in through Nature, beyond her, into that splendour which she fitfully reflects. And in there, in beyond Nature, we shall eat of the tree of life...

It may be possible for each to think too much of his own potential glory hereafter; it is hardly possible for him to think too often or too deeply about that of his neighbour. The load, or weight, or burden of my neighbour’s glory should be laid daily on my back, a load so heavy that only humility can carry it, and the backs of the proud will be broken. It is a serious thing to live in a society of possible gods and goddesses, to remember that the dullest and most uninteresting person you talk to may one day be a creature which, if you saw it now, you would be strongly tempted to worship, or else a horror and a corruption such as you now meet, if at all, only in a nightmare. All day long we are, in some degree, helping each other to one or other of these destinations. It is in the light of these overwhelming possibilities, it is with the awe and the circumspection proper to them, that we should conduct all our dealings with one another, all friendships, all loves, all play, all politics.
 

There are no ordinary people. You have never talked to a mere mortal. Nations, cultures, arts, civilization—these are mortal, and their life is to ours as the life of a gnat. But it is immortals whom we joke with, work with, marry, snub, and exploit—immortal horrors or everlasting splendours. This does not mean that we are to be perpetually solemn. We must play. But our merriment must be of that kind (and it is, in fact, the merriest kind) which exists between people who have, from the outset, taken each other seriously—no flippancy, no superiority, no presumption. And our charity must be a real and costly love, with deep feeling for the sins in spite of which we love the sinner—no mere tolerance or indulgence which parodies love as flippancy parodies merriment. Next to the Blessed Sacrament itself, your neighbour is the holiest object presented to your senses


Incentives

The shoe store opening was delayed, so I went and did something else.  I suspected that they had a staffing problem, but when I came back there were helpful people everywhere wanting to go into the back and bring me pairs of (Brooks) sneakers. When I asked I was told it was indeed a staffing problem, but the offer they made for people to come in was so good that they had two more than were needed.

It's Simple

Pro Tip:  Whenever you see a political FB or TikTok or YouTube that begins "It's simple, " read no further.

You're Welcome

Monday, September 02, 2024

Protest Songs

I recall Jimmy Webb complaining that Glen Campbell had made "Galveston" too upbeat, when it was a song about being in Vietnam wondering if the boy/man would ever come back.  I thought that was wrong, that the pathos was well-placed, creeping into the song gradually.

But I never saw this one coming. "Last Train to Clarksville" was quietly, almost invisibly a protest song. The man is going off, likely drafted, to Vietnam. He seems mostly unwilling. I recall vaguely thinking at the time "Dude, if you love her so much, why do you not know if you're ever coming home?  Just come back from whatever.  Stop whining about it." But going to Vietnam...it's the only way the lyric makes sense. 

Because this has a just-so quality, I looked it up to see if this was an overread.  No, the composers intended it.  The only just-so portion is when people claim it's about Fort Campbell in Tennessee, which is near Clarksville.  That was merely an accident.


******

Notice: I will be on hold for posts until I decide what Post 10,000 is, then write it. It's coming up soon.

Of course, I could pretend any of them is Ten Thousand.  Who would know?

Happiness Among Liberals and Conservatives

 How To Understand the Well-Being Gap Between Liberals and Conservatives, by Musa al-Gharbi  in American Affairs.

Academic research consistently finds the same pattern. Conservatives do not just report higher levels of happiness, they also report higher levels of meaning in their lives. The effects of conservatism seem to be enhanced when conservatives are surrounded by others like themselves. However, in an analysis looking at ninety countries from 1981 through 2014, the social psychologists Olga Stavrova and Maike Luhmann found “the positive association between conservative ideology and happiness only rarely reversed. Liberals were happier than conservatives in only 5 out of 92 countries and never in the United States.”

Al-Gharbi notes what the prevailing hypotheses are why this is true, and which are more likely to be correct given the data.  Please know in advance that this is an area where a variety people seem to have first developed a theory they liked and then convinced themselves it must be true, because it sounds right.

Sunday, September 01, 2024

Look In The Stupid Places

I repeat this advice from a few years ago.

When you cannot find something, it is of course best to do the smart things first, remembering where you have been, where it usually is, where it sometimes is, whether you did anything unusual today that might have moved it to an odd place.  But when you have exhausted those, and checked them twice (just because that is what we do), do not go to the medium smart places next.  The object you are looking for is never there. It is far better to go to the stupid places to look: under the car, in the refrigerator, next to the dog's dish. Even though things are very seldom there either, something about this strategy frees you up to suddenly remember where it is, rather than spinning your wheels.

Also, it's fun, which calms one down a bit.

We have heard that when you find something that you have stored something "in an intelligent place" but then can't find it - tools, books, and kitchen items are common here - when you actually find it, start storing it in the first place you looked.  We have just started this, and so far, so good.

Ecclesiastes 7:4

 The heart of the wise is in the house of mourning,
    but the heart of fools is in the house of gaiety.

Hmm. Not sure this should be a blanket statement. The books of Wisdom Literature have lots of verses that likely should not be blanket statements. But I have felt exactly like this at times since junior high, watching fools enjoy themselves doing stupid stuff. So it's good the scriptures captured this at least a few times.

Of course, I've watched people marinate in self-pity as well.

Update: It occurred to me this morning is that the wise need not fear mourning, and do not need to seek false gaiety. God is still God.  This accords with the Beatitude that they who mourn shall be comforted.  It is not that we seek mourning, but do not fear it or avoid it.

Saturday, August 31, 2024

Color My World

Sometimes nostalgia isn't all that attractive.  Sometimes it's a little seedy.

The lights are down. The people who brought alcohol or dope are wasted, the people who didn't are wondering why this event was called a "party." The 8 girls on the committee, plus their two boyfriends (well, one is just a friend who is always around to help) are starting to clean up the decorations, ashtrays, and empty cups. Couples hold each other on the dance floor, with no longer any pretense of dancing.

You thought, you young 'uns, that "Stairway to Heaven" was always the last song for the last 50 years, because it's from the 70's and has been the last song your entire lives. But it wasn't. This was the last song. It sucked then, too.


 

What Is Wrong With The World?

The Times asked GK Chesterton that over a century ago.  I reported his answer in 2009, acted on it for a month or so, and got some very nice comments.

Thursday, August 29, 2024

King O' The Cats

An English tale, though there are Irish and Scottish versions as well. My wife used to tell this one at school and at library story hour.  She told another one about "hundreds of cats, thousands of cats, millions and billions and trillions of cats" while throwing stuffed cats from a bag about the room, based on the book by Wanda Gag.  Third-graders absolutely loved that.  But this one is a bit more alarming and that frisson of fear - many of the children had cats of their own at home after all - was memorable, and they would ask for it again. Tracy has the knack for the right balance of fear and humor with these.

ONE winter's evening the sexton's wife was sitting by the fireside with her big black cat, Old Tom, on the other side, both half asleep and waiting for the master to come home. They waited and they waited, but still he didn't come, till at last he came rushing in, calling out, 'Who's Tommy Tildrum?' in such a wild way that both his wife and his cat stared at him to know what was the matter.

'Why, what's the matter?' said his wife, 'and why do you want to know who Tommy Tildrum is?'

'Oh, I've had such an adventure. I was digging away at old Mr Fordyce's grave when I suppose I must have dropped asleep, and only woke up by hearing a cat's Miaou.'

'Miaou!' said Old Tom in answer.

'Yes, just like that! So I looked over the edge of the grave, and what do you think I saw?'

'Now, how can I tell?' said the sexton's wife.

'Why, nine black cats all like our friend Tom here, all with a white spot on their chestesses. And what do you think they were carrying? Why, a small coffin covered with a black velvet pall, and on the pall was a small coronet all of gold, and at every third step they took they cried all together, Miaou -- '

'Miaou!' said Old Tom again.

'Yes, just like that!' said the sexton; 'and as they came nearer and nearer to me I could see them more distinctly; because their eyes shone out with a sort of green light. Well, they all came towards me, eight of them carrying the coffin, and the biggest cat of all walking in front for all the world like -- but look at our Tom, how he's looking at me. You'd think he knew all I was saying.'

'Go on, go on,' said his wife; 'never mind Old Tom.'

'Well, as I was a-saying, they came towards me slowly and solemnly, and at every third step crying all together, Miaou --'

'Miaou!' said Old Tom again.

'Yes, just like that, till they came and stood right opposite Mr Fordyce's grave, where I was, when they all stood still and looked straight at me. I did feel queer, that I did! But look at Old Tom; he's looking at me just like they did.'

'Go on, go on,' said his wife; 'never mind Old Tom.'

'Where was I? Oh, they stood still looking at me, when the one that wasn't carrying the coffin came forward and, staring straight at me, said to me -- yes, I tell 'ee, said to me, with a squeaky voice, "Tell Tom Tildrum that Tim Toldrum's dead," and that's why I asked you if you knew who Tom Tildrum was, for how can I tell Tom Tildrum Tim Toldrum's dead if I don't know who Tom Tildrum is?'

'Look at Old Tom, look at Old Tom!' screamed his wife.

And well he might look, for Tom was swelling and Tom was staring, and at last Tom shrieked out, 'What -- old Tom dead! then I'm the King o' the Cats!' and rushed up the chimney and was nevermore seen.


Wednesday, August 28, 2024

The Stars And Stripes Forever

 

The piccolo part comes in at about the three minute mark.

In Praise of Occasional or Moderate Drunkenness

 What School Didn't Teach Us: You Need To Lose Control, by Kat Rosenfeld.  Not the usual posting here, but I see the sense of it.

There’s a scene I love, toward the end of The Lord of the Rings trilogy, after the adventure is over and ordinary life has begun anew: Our heroes, Frodo and Sam and Pippin and Merry, are drinking at the local pub, when Sam spots a girl across the room who he’s admired from afar all his life. Something flickers across his face, equal parts desire and determination; this is his moment, his destiny. 

But before Sam makes his move, he does one more thing: He throws back his pint.

I was surprised that she did not reference the book Drunk: How We Sipped, Danced, and Stumbled Our Way to Civilization.

I worked with alcoholics and addicts for over forty years, and saw how substances complicate mental illness. 

She's still right.

Tuesday, August 27, 2024

Working For A Non-Profit

Originally published October 2008.  The last comment is poignant.

*********

It's not that for-profit enterprises are immune from this sort of nonsense, but get a load of this laudatory newspaper article:

(Deleted's) job entails engaging in community partnerships with leaders of other organizations to determine what might be emerging trends or issues in the community. They try to work together through this process to find solutions to the problems they see.
I imagine a lot of donuts are involved in doing this.

Kalyi Jag

It's a Roma traditional group from the Northeast of Hungary, up near the Romanian, Slovakian, and Ukrainian borders. 



Psychedelics

Ann Althouse carried the NYT story on the constant mucking up of the data by the researchers in trials of psychedelics. Too many of them can't keep their hands off the stuff for personal use and become advocates instead of objective researchers.

My first thought was "If this is that important to you, and you think this will be a great boon to all humanity, then why can't you put in the effort to do the studies right? Get people who are completely clean, completely objective, and put them out there to do the objective work.  Not the people who say that therapists should be strongly encouraged to have their own psychedelic experiences because it will help them understand their patients better.

Stoners were probably better at writing and playing stoner music when stoned.  The Grateful Dead, for example.  And maybe jazz musicians as well.  Trippers better at writing trippy music, drunks better at writing the various types of alcohol-fueled music. Maybe.  I'll accept the premise.  But I knew plenty of guys who insisted they were better guitarists stoned, but were demonstrably worse, they just had the subjective impression they were better. So you feel like you understand your patients better...does that mean anything? How did the patients rate that?  What were the results?

All very obvious.

But I put the question out to one of my email threads, and long-time friend of the blog Tim McMahan-King (King-McMahan?  I never remember) pointed out that the problem with MDMA might be that it works.  It does what it says it will, relaxing people's defenses so that they trust their therapist more quickly, suppressing the reticence and fears that nature has selected for for millions of years.  What could possibly go wrong there?  And there have been abuses, of  (his words)  

...a woman who had PTSD from sexual assault. She participated in a trial in Canada, was "healed" and then went on to spend the next several years speaking at conferences and to the press about how amazing MDMA and psychedelics are. During this time, she moved in with the therapist who had conducted her sessions and lived in a polyamorous relationship with him and his wife. It was only years after she suddenly realized how unhealthy everything was and that the therapist was taking advantage of her and had been manipulating her from their very first session. So, everyone 'trusted' each other and didn't see the danger and so it went unreported for years and she had been listed as a 'success' story.

It's this story.

I have mostly not opined about psychedelics much myself, but linked to people who know more about the subject and seem smarter than me. Aeon, ACX, and Tim previously. That latest (lattest?) is also interested in what we now call abusables being used by earlier cultures, including in the Bible. Not my topic, but some of you might be interested.


Monday, August 26, 2024

The Best Answer

There is a character in Piers Anthony's "Xanth*" series, Grundy the Golem. He was assembled out of inanimate materials but displayed a fair bit of personality. One of the repeating bits in the series was the Good Magician Humphrey, who would answer any question in exchange for a year of service. Grundy came to him and asked "Do I have a soul?" and started his year of service.

Humphrey did better than a yes or no answer.  In the end, he told Grundy "Only creatures with souls care about the answer." That sticks to the heart.

My second son was worried, as religious and serious children are, whether he was saved or not.  That is the evangelical version of a similar question about going to heaven (or not going to hell), or being among The Elect or The Chosen in other groups. This was about sixth grade, as I recall. All the nice Baptist(ish) teachers quoted various Bible verses to him to reassure him, not getting the basic point that it was other verses in the Bible that were making him nervous. 

Someone - my wife perhaps - paraphrased Augustine to him.  He knew enough to know that that was a Big Name.  WRT to salvation "If you want to be, you probably are."  This was the key that turned the lock.  It was a Good Magician Humphrey sort of answer, reassuring him at a deeper level both intellectually and emotionally.

I wish I could do that.  There are people who know how to give the perfect present, or pay the most satisfying compliment, and I envy them.

*Good characters, too many puns and obvious jokes, interesting plot ideas, only partly recommended.  I stopped at Book VI, I think there were a dozen.

Sunday, August 25, 2024

Cognitive Lingusistics Through Misheard Lyrics

Originally posted 2008.  Updates printed in bold.

******** 

One of the debates in linguistics is whether there is a grammar embedded in us genetically. One side claims that the marvelously versatile and plastic human brain learns words and speech because that is what the infant is presented with. The brain would adjust itself to some other form of communication equally well - there is little or no brain structure which must be used for language. It happens to be used for language because that is the raw material presented to baby.

The other side, following Chomsky, holds that there are brain structures which are pre-installed for language. The terms Deep Structure, Universal Grammar and Transformational Grammar are used in this context, if you want to go look up the subject more thoroughly. I will note in passing that Deep Structure enjoyed a faddish fame in the 70's (and maybe later, though I wasn't paying attention then), supposedly referring to mythic profundities that underlay music, art, and theater. All the Jungians were very into this, and the Joseph Campbell people fall into this swamp from time to time as well. Deep Structure is actually only a rather banal technical term in linguistics. Steven Pinker calls it a "useful gadget."

The evidence for the Chomskyite view has accumulated over the years, and the current dominant belief is that specific language structures are in the genes. However, the fact that AI seems to be developing grammar based solely on inputs is mucking that up these days. Reply hazy, ask again later, I say.  Linguists are fond of ingenious experiment design to tease out ambiguous evidence, but you can do one experiment in your own head. Contrary to the postmodern view that our expectations hugely affect what we hear, we actually do a lot of hearing, in the sense of the brain dividing long chains of sound up into words, before our expectations get their grubby little hands on meaning. It is true that our expectations have some effect on interpretation, especially at the margins, but these are so far downstream as to be of minor importance.

Human speech has few clear breaks between words. Fluent speakers, especially in informal conversation, run everything together. If you have briefly studied a language and expect to be able to understand it spoken, you find that you cannot pick out a single word of a sentence - you can't even tell where one word leaves off and another begins. Only after much hearing does your brain begin to predigest the sounds into words for you. Then, armed with a clear few words of each sentence, you can begin to interpret based on gesture and context.

This is why receptive understanding of a language one learned when young lasts much longer than speaking that language. Logically, it should be the other way around: we should be able to take a hundred remembered verbs, a hundred adjectives, and a few hundred nouns and make do even decades later. The thousands of words that other speakers might throw at us should be a much harder list to hold in long term memory. But it is not so. Once trained to a language, the brain breaks up the stream of sound into the correct discrete words, even when it has forgotten what those words mean. (Interestingly, this sometimes takes a period of adjustment, as if the mind is searching for the correct language archives, but once found, switches over quickly.)

Misheard lyrics are your at-home evidence. Because singing is unlike speech in cadence, the brain has trouble finding the breaks. It settles for breaking the stream into any words that are close, then sends it on to another part of the brain to figure out the provisional meaning. That pre-meaning-finding part may find a plausible construction, or may have the memory play it back to the decoder brain for a new division. "Scuse me, while I kiss this guy" splits the s from sky and attaches it to the, making it this.  The decoder brain thinks this is fine, because it has found real words to pass on to the pre-meaning-finder. The meaning-finder says "weird, but coherent," and accepts it. Unless we direct even higher parts of the brain to focus attention on the meaning to see if it really makes sense, the provisional meaning lives on in our memory indefinitely.

Note that we do a lot of decoding and storing automatically, completely independent of the meaning of the words. Our expectations of meaning, all our culture and biases have played no part.

Garage bands and psychedelic wannabees did not attempt to sing "Incense and Peppermints" in the 1960's. Why? Because no one could tell what some of the words were. Try it. No peeking. I intentionally did not put up one of the videos that shows the lead singer, as that would provide additional clues that were not present on the radio.


(Ed King, who became the bassist for Lynyrd Skynyrd and wrote "Sweet Home Alabama" is on the far left.)

Even I never got what some of those lines were, and I was a little fanatic about such things. I won't admit to you what I heard then.

When Austin Powers used the song in a movie, he got the words wrong. I have put the incorrect lyrics in italics, with the correct ones in bold. (How do I know which is correct? If you were there in the 60's, you know that "occasions, persuasions" is infinitely more likely than "oh cajun spice, sweats and" You just know. And it's a great example of the brain just making stuff up, sending it along to the memory, and hoping no one will notice that it makes no sense.

Good sense, innocence, cripplin' and kind. mankind
Dead kings, many things I can't define.
Oh Cajun spice, sweats and blushers your mind.
Occasions, persuasions clutter your mind
Incense and peppermints, the color of thyme. time

Who cares what games we choose?
Little to win, but nothing to lose.

Incense and peppermints, meaningless nouns.
Turn on, tune in, turn your eyes around.
Look at your sound yourself, look at yourself,
Yeah, yeah.
Look at yourself, look at yourself,
Yeah, yeah,
Yeah, yeah.

Tune-a by the To divide this cockeyed world in two.
Throw your pride to one side, It's the least you can do.
Beatniks and politics, nothing is new.
A yardstick for lunatics, want one of you one point of view.

Who cares what games we choose?
Little to win, but nothing to lose.

Saturday, August 24, 2024

First Use of Helmets

The Ringer Fantasy Football Show was asking today which band was the first to wear helmets.  Daft Punk was nominated.

But there's one way earlier, and of course, I remembered it, though only approximately.  It took me a while to locate it exactly.


The Spotnicks: Rocket Man.  I had not realised they were from Sweden, and I would never have guessed that they released 43 albums.

Nice People

I consider Niceness one of the most dangerous substitutes for the gospel in our age. Every era has its own difficulties, its own heresies, its own temptations. Garrison Keillor captured it well. When he spoke about the Dark Lutherans, he couldn't help but drag the Happy Lutherans as well. We used to be Lutherans, and Happy Lutherans are where the stereotype of "Minnesota Nice" comes from.  Not that the German Catholics or the various Brethren didn't pick it up quickly, but the white-hot center of Niceness is Scandinavian.

We are seeing it on display more than ever recently, this Potemkin Christianity, but I won't try and explain to you why it is an imitation. You likely already sense it, and rereading Mere Christianity, I saw that Lewis had done so far better than I ever could.

Mere Christianity by CS Lewis is available as a PDF in a few places.  It depends on what appearance you like. I want you to focus for a bit on one of the last chapters, "Nice People or New Men." Chapter 10 in Book III, "Beyond Personality."

NTS Library p 98

Google docs p 226

Internet Archive  p115

Friday, August 23, 2024

Boy Team/ Girl Team

Originally posted in September 2008, when I had about had it with the election.  I don't think I saw this as strongly over the last dozen years of my career, but I still thought it essentially true.  It may be part of some larger truth of teams dominated by one group with a sprinkling of another, but i never thought that through.  Have at it.

*********

I have got to think about something other than politics...

Global statement: It is better to have one sex predominate rather than have near-balance. But it is not good to have one sex exclusively for your cooperative group either.

My job is structured around a team approach. A dozen patients, all in crisis, and we meet for 90 minutes each day to review each of them daily. That's seven minutes each plus interruptions and one-liners, which isn't much if it's your crisis we're dealing with. But those 90 minutes set the course of the rest of my day. Concision and camaraderie are of enormous importance.

There are 5-8 players every day, plus student observers about half the time. Most are regular daily players, but because nursing and rehab works weekends, we have mix-and-match coverage people fairly regularly. I have done this for a long time, and have been on teams that are all or nearly all male, and teams that are nearly all female. When one sex predominates for any length of time I will kiddingly point it out. Boy Team. Girl Team.

The ideal is to have two of one sex and the rest of the other sex. Neither gender does well when it gets the whole culture to itself, and having one female among males or one male among females is usually not enough to change the prevailing culture. Even for a dominant personality like mine, outnumbered is outnumbered, and being on Intense Girl Team for too long gets wearing.

But an equal balance turns out to be worst of both worlds, and no fun at all.

Escape Room

We did an escape room tonight as a family, eight of us. We finished well under the time allotted, but at about twice as much time as the record, which shamed us at first.  We learned that the record holders for each room were those who had done "triple digits" of escape rooms before, so we felt less bad after that.

I was perhaps the least helpful there, though I did have my moments of doing puzzles that could have been designed for me, as did a few others who were not as central as we expected but still had moments.  The two strengths were my two oldest sons, who got on the same wavelength somehow and carried us through, and the two granddaughters, 16 and 13, who gradually got on the same wavelength as well and helped us finish strongly. I have only done three of these, but I think that is key.  You need different strengths, but dyadic strength, pairs who suddenly work together at high levels, look like the road home.

There may be something about team building in that. Groups are fine, but pairs in concert, even if temporary, have a magical power.  Though maybe that can move up to triples in a good situation?  Tell me. 

Which reminds me of a post about teams...

The Ash Grove

This is one where I grew increasingly frustrated listening to different versions.  I just wanted to hear two voices in harmony singing the song simply, as close to the version I learned at church camp in 1966 and sang with my folkie friends 1970-74.

Our first son went into the hospital at two weeks old in 1979 with Failure To Thrive, and he was hooked up to much equipment and we we only allowed to touch him gingerly. We poured water over his foot to baptise him, as that was what we were allowed to touch. And we sang with our hearts in our throats, softly and deep into the night, the nurses weeping to hear us will him back to life. They would come by and listen, one would join in for a verse when she could, on this song and a few others.  Seven years later, a nurse at the hospital I worked at mentioned why she couldn't work pedi and switched to psych instead, telling this story. That was us, I told her. He's fine now and has a younger brother.

Just sing the song.  There are so many show-off versions of this one. Just sing the song.

Leftover 2008 Mental Health Posts

These two fit vaguely into the category of mental health as I clean up the last of 2008. A few more to go before I start reprising 2009.

I used to often point out that the ability to laugh at oneself is a marker of good balanced personality.  Then someone was insulting in the comments because of a comment I had made over at Language Log and I was a little snippy in return.  Fair, but snippy.  I should have laughed at myself instead.

I was surprised when a psychology PhD student who was interning at our hospital openly put forward 9/11 Truther ideas. I gave my usual insight - not to him, but on the blog - that the paranoia precedes the evidence in a conspiracy theory rather than resulting from it.

Thursday, August 22, 2024

Out Of Pocket

For the second time I have read someone using the phrase "out of pocket" to mean away, not available, out of reach. It rings oddly. And yes, both would be people younger than I am and reasonably intelligent, so this may be a new use of the term rather than a mistake.

Wednesday, August 21, 2024

Venn Diagram Conversations

Four of us in the car, not always hearing each other clearly, leaping to conclusions only semi-correct, referring back to previous statements made one minute or ten minutes ago, we did briefly get it sorted out who had meant what, establishing that no one had asked what time it was, but the town we were in was Hopkinton, which should perhaps be included as a town in Central NH (two of us had initially agreed that only Concord should bear that label) along with the other Concord suburbs.

And then we were off again.  This is conversation for Wymans, a Venn diagram of individual conversations which are not identical but do intersect. Four worlds. I am trying to work out whether there is any territory shared by all four circles when the number of participants gets that high. My initial opinion is yes, but it is not large.

Snow Treasure

Snow Treasure can still be found, decades after it was written. It has had multiple covers over its many editions. It was a Scholastic Book Club monthly selection the third month I was in fourth grade. (The first two were The Road to Agra, which the dog chewed, and Mrs Coverlet's Magicians, which I reread many times.

I loved the story, and was disappointed to later find out it was fiction.  I swear it was not presented that way when I was a child. Though it may have been based on a true story, which I suppose makes me feel a bit better. I sent a copy to my son in Norway, and his fiancee also read it. She had never heard the story before, but thought it possible.

Coincidences Favor the Prepared Mind

We were at a bookstore we visit only every couple of years, Old Number Six Book Depot in Henniker, NH. It is one of those well-organised but overcrowded establishments with a proprietor that looks like a Hogwarts shopkeeper. We visit used bookstores mostly when Ben and Jen come up from Texas. Another couple came in while we were there, and as the woman was in the children's section (we were armed with two children's librarians ourselves), we chatted with her. 

Tracy: Where are you from?

Woman: Brookline.

AVI: Oh, I just met someone from Brookline on a zoom call week before last, who runs the Inklings presentation group on Fridays.  Roy Waller.

Woman: That's my husband.

AVI: Over there?

So I went over to talk to Roy Waller, chuckling to my son who has watched these coincidences occur all his life and is resigned to them by now. I started to explain to Roy, who broke in and said "One degree of separation."  "That's right," I said.  That's my goal."

Ben also chimed in to recount the time I spent an entire cab ride trying to connect with a cabbie in Budapest, and I reminded him of the limo driver from the Dominican Republic. I live my life this way, and it's very satisfying.

Bureau of Labor Statistics

The Bureau of Labor Statistics corrects the record. Again.

Thanks to Ann Althouse for bringing this up.

Each year, the Current Employment Statistics (CES) survey employment estimates are benchmarked to comprehensive counts of employment for the month of March. These counts are derived from state unemployment insurance (UI) tax records that nearly all employers are required to file. For National CES employment series, the annual benchmark revisions over the last 10 years have averaged plus or minus one-tenth of one percent of total nonfarm employment. The preliminary estimate of the benchmark revision indicates an adjustment to March 2024 total nonfarm employment of -818,000.

The NYT does the math and tells us that employers added 174K/month rather than the 242K/month originally reporter. 

That's um, a big difference.  Is BLS shading the intitial numbers to please the bureaucrats above them, up to and including the president? This seems to happen a lot, that the White House can announce big improvements, while the walkback is buried a few pages deeper into the paper (as we used to say.) I doubt there is a conspiracy in the usual sense of agencies being told what numbers to put out there, reality be damned, but I would certainly believe that this is a case of not have to tell cats to catch mice.


Monday, August 19, 2024

The Fable of State Self-Control (Willpower)

 The Fable of State Self-Control, [Inzlicht (UToronto) and Roberts (Urbana-Champaign)], state in personality psychology referring to a temporary period of effort as opposed to a trait, which is part of your ongoing personality. Yes, there are arguments about which is in play in any given activity, but that's the general idea.

The authors challenge the idea that creating temporary states encouraging people to show more self-denial, more discipline, more willpower, transfers to other activities and becomes part of your general character.  It is the old discussion of whether sports (or Latin, or playing scales) improves character or only reveals it.  We want the former to be true, but is there actual evidence for it?  Perhaps some, but not a great deal.  Most of the experiemental evidence is quite flawed and the anecdotal evidence suffers from the same biases that anecdotes always do: we choose which anecdotes to remember and highlight and we interpret them through self-serving prisms right from the start.

Self-control is a cherished value. People who have lots of it are celebrated and seen as morally righteous [1,2]. In Aesop's fable of The Ant and the Grasshopper, we celebrate the industrious ant not the gleeful grasshopper. After all, while the grasshopper plays and sings throughout summer the ant foregoes pleasure to find and store food for the winter. The lesson here is that we should strive to be like the ant, not like the grasshopper. Although the modern science of personality largely vindicates this fable, here we wonder if our admiration of trait self-control confused us into celebrating state self-control, which is mostly ineffective in bringing about sustained change...Just like the ant, people who are premeditated, patient, and controlled live objectively better lives than their grasshopper-like peers...

Despite its intuitive appeal, there are three problems with extolling state self-control because of our love for trait self-control. First, people high in trait self-control do not engage more state self-control...

I wrote we want the former to be true, but I may have spoken too soon.  Sometimes it serves us more to believe the opposite, that we never could have become much better than we did. Jeremiah 17:9 The heart is deceitful above all things and beyond cure.

(Thanks to The Studies Show for the link to the study. 

Eliminate The Screwworm

I can usually figure out how what shows up  in my YouTube feed got there, related to something else I recently watched, popular with others by sheer numbers, or likely to catch on because it hits a hot-button topic.  But sometimes what shows up serendipitously puzzles me, even as I am fascinated.

So I clicked it and in the two minutes, this guy from MIT entirely convinced me.  Kill them all.



Friday, August 16, 2024

Sky-Father Vs Earth Mother

Catching the warmth in the woman's voice saying "Mother Earth," I wonder how much of environmentalism is a preference for having a goddess instead of a god?

ABBA Update From 2008


I knew you were waiting for it.  

Now you can't unsee it. I would have thought it was impossible to make those women unattractive...

You will be pleased to note that ABBA stars Bjorn Ulvaeus and Benny Andersson have settled their copyright dispute. But even better, there is going to be an ABBA museum (named ABBA The Museum) opening in 2009! 

It opened

Maybe I should try to find my worst post instead my best one or a new one for Post 10,000. I don't know if I can bear the search, though.  I read the letters I wrote to my wife in the summer of 1974 when we we courting (did I mention this?) and was so uncomfortable with what a jerk I was that I couldn't finish a one of them. She overlooked a lot.

Thursday, August 15, 2024

It's a Good Life

The Twilight Zone episode was based on an earlier short story of the same name that made it into the Science Fiction Hall of Fame. Both are pretty unnerving.



Temptation

Originally posted in April 2008

Most references to temptation, even among Christians, are to one-off events. I doubt these are our great spiritual dangers. It is the less-visible temptations that stretch over years which unravel us. CS Lewis writes directly about the great, consuming temptations in both his fiction and non-fiction. Not only The Screwtape Letters, The Great Divorce, and “The Inner Ring,” but the Narnia and Perelandra series are largely taken up with the questions of temptation. There are temptations to do evil in a good cause, temptations of cowardice, temptations of apostasy and compromise. The brilliance of Narnia is not in its fantastic elements, but in the seriousness of moral questions presented even to children. Young people are not treated as moral simpletons, capable only of steal cookie/not steal cookie obedience, but as full moral agents in hard places.

Tolkien’s Lord of the Rings seems to be entirely about temptations, once one thinks to look for them. Boromir is tempted by glory; Saruman by knowledge and power, Denethor by knowledge and despair; the temptation to be left alone in false peace settles in various forms on hobbits, Tom Bombadil, ents, and elves; the beauty of making tempts both elves and dwarves. The danger of competing goods, and of virtues unchecked drive the story forward: Gandalf is tempted by pity, Sam by humility, Frodo by gentleness. While these temptations may come to a sharp, revealing point in the story they are all constant temptations to the characters. Everyone is beset by peculiar weaknesses and virtues that intertwine. Gollum and Galadriel, Beregond and Butterbur are all assailed by moral choices of real consequence. Courage is not a virtue so much as the measure of all other virtues. There’s a book for someone to write about temptation as described by the Inklings. One can meditate on the peculiar temptations of a single group or character at a time.

This all came up because of a description of a scholar a friend sent. The man in question grew up as a fundamentalist Christian, attended a Christian college and prestigious theological school, and had made a name for himself in New Testament studies. He had pioneered a method of considering early texts and interpreting ambiguities which changed the field. Over time he lost his faith, and puts his energy into undermining it now. I was reminded of Gandalf’s comment about Saruman, and it not being wise to study the arts of the enemy too deeply, and of Frodo’s inability to resume normal life in the Shire because of the wounding and trauma he had experienced. But most of all, I thought of Denethor and his Palantir, discovering things important and real that lesser men could not see. His great knowledge led him ultimately to great despair, not because what he had seen was untrue, but because it was selected truth, with Sauron doing the selecting. I feel much sorrow for the scholar.

Fundamentalism can be a brittle faith, shattering rather than absorbing blows. I think real faith always has a few dents in it – not just religious faith, but belief in a theory, trust in a person, or confidence in predictability. Reality is rather messy, unjust, and unpredictable. Even Jesus was surprised that someone had touched him for healing, that the disciples could not keep watch, and that the Father had abandoned him.

Update:  In response to questions about the theologian my scholar friend described, I wrote about Bart Ehrman in 2019, who is who I think I was describing in 2008. 

Ethology

A psychologist friend who had originally started in ethology assured me that the first rule of research in that field was to never use cats. "Cats will screw up your data."

Evolutionary Role of ADHD

The Evolutionary Role of ADHD in Prehistoric Humans: A Trait Adapted to Foraging, Now Misaligned with Modern Life, by Kambiz Kamrani (also here.)

For most of human history, Homo sapiens lived as hunter-gatherers. Fossil evidence indicates that our species has existed in this mode of life for at least 288,000 years, which accounts for approximately 95% of our evolutionary history. During this time, the ability to rapidly shift focus, seek new stimuli, and make quick decisions could have been highly advantageous.

Evolutionary mismatch ideas are fun, and even if they are sometimes overdone and turn into just-so stories, they have a lot of value.  We look at frustrating traits, in ourselves and others, in a kinder light. There is a fair bit of speculation here, but not unwarranted.  It does make a certain amount of superficial sense, and may turn out to be largely true. Kamrani puts a little time into describing what might be done for modern adaptations, which is also valuable. 

Tangent: I am coming up on Post 10,000 but still don't know what I am going to do.

 

 

Wednesday, August 14, 2024

Coming Up on a Milestone

 Tracy and I celebrated our 48th anniversary today.

Dragostea Din Tei - Again

It was only briefly big in the US in the early 2000's, known as "The Numa Numa Song" colloquially here. 

But somehow it hangs on as a standard in Europe in country after country, for 20 years now.


 

I have put up references to the song a half-dozen times over the years, the best of which is here, with translation.

Prayer

I think the ACTS format for prayer, Adoration, Confession, Thanksgiving, and Supplication, can be distilled even further. There are only two prayers: Please, and Thank You.

Working With Sex Offenders

I nearly always had a sex offender of some sort on my caseload, but there was a time when I made something of a specialty of it. I wrote some of what I knew years ago, and bring it forward now. I was interested in what really worked for treatment, and what the real rates of recidivism were.  The last link will explain some of that.

In any of the posts, I have put 2024 updates in italics.  However, I have made no effort to update my clinical understanding since my retirement in 2020.

Vampiric Child Molestation - A Seed Is Not a Flower

Jumping to Conclusions - Alfred C Kinsey  

The Myth of Childhood Sexuality

Rehabilitation of Sex Offenders,

Tuesday, August 13, 2024

Wake Up, Dunia

Broken Pipe Memorial

Originally published August 12, 2008.  Read the comments, as the oldest of the children, whose age and sex I had gotten wrong, explained the memorial.

********

At the shore near the campground, two hunks of ceramic pipe were stuck into the ground, inscribed with black marker. One read July 27, 2008. The other was a typical marker children put out, words, numbers and little pictures imperfectly drawn. One of my children had rowed with his friends years ago to mark "Friendship Island" in a similar way and were pleased to follow up the next summer.

This particular marker looked more like a headstone, as when oversensitive children bury a turtle in a shoebox and dutifully note the date of its demise. More sadly, they commemorate a dead pet, not buried in that location, but remembered fondly.

The makeshift headstone must have tilted over in the torrential rain, and it was at an angle easier to read the next morning; a butterfly, a branch of some sort, and what might be a tree across the top. Then the large block capitals: MOMMY.

Lara S. Foster, July 25, 1975 - December 27, 2007, with four girl's names in a left column beneath it. It had originally read July 27, 1975 - December 27 07, but the first "7" had been crossed out and a "5" placed above it, and the "20" was squeezed in above the "07," the inscriber apparently going back over to improve her work.

A right column read
Hope
To
See
You
Soon!

32 years old. Four daughters. The oldest, perhaps nine or so, had put in the names of her sisters, the last of which is likely quite young. At church camp the summer after her mother's death, a girl had wanted to create a memorial, and likely brought her sisters to see it. The next-most-likely scenario is that the daughter is with her grandparents at camp, and listed her sisters even though they were not present.

I don't have any problems in life. Really. Some people have real problems.

Ferret-Legging

We had read about ferret-legging when searching out things to do on our first trip to the UK in 1997. Let me correct that impression: we weren't going to do it ourselves, we wanted to watch someone else do it. Yorkshire was the home base of this "sport," which involves stuffing two ferrets into your pants and seeing how long you can endure their biting, fighting, and scrambling around. Competitions tended to last 20 or 30 seconds - I don't find that surprising - and were held in semi-secret, as the sport is illegal.

Participants are not allowed to wear underwear, by the way.

I'm all for not unduly distressing animals for human sport, but it's hard to see how the primary worry in this is how hard it is on the ferrets. Especially as ferrets are evil.

70-year-old Reg Mellor thought the world record of forty seconds was shamefully wimpy, and shortly after taking up the sport set a new record of over four hours.
"The ferrets must have a full mouth o' teeth," Reg Mellor said as he fiddled with his belt. "No filing of the teeth; no clipping. No dope for you or the ferrets. You must be sober, and the ferrets must be hungry-though any ferret'll eat yer eyes out even if he isn't hungry."
An excerpt of Donald Katz's story about the king of the ferret-leggers is here. Reg is certainly a colorful guy.

Monday, August 12, 2024

Death Is Not The Worst Of Evils

Reprinted from 2008.

Visitors and immigrants from other states snigger at the New Hampshire motto, Live Free or Die. I perceive their thought: Die is just so overdramatic, with more than a whiff of hunters and killing and all those icky gun people. These rubes think they live free even though they're just dumbass rural people with all their resistance to anything new. I mean, how free is that?

The full quote (pronounced quietly, thank you) is Live free or die. Death is not the worst of evils. Gen. John Stark wrote that when he was 81, the considered opinion of a citizen soldier who retired back to his farm after the Revolution.

It's a great motto.

Election Fear

Texan99 and Ann Althouse have both been on this, quoting of mainstream journalists that Trump is now afraid and confused because of Biden being replaced by Harris and Walz. Really?

Do they think this is actually true? What would be their, you know, evidence?

Or are they hoping to convince people that it is true, regardless?

Or are they just throwing whatever they can against the wall, hoping something sticks?

I suppose none of these excludes the others. 

These accusations have been around a long time.  I recall being told that conservatives were afraid of strong women while noticing they were worshiping at the feet of Margaret Thatcher.

Conferences

There are two CS Lewis/Inklings conferences in Western Mass this fall.  I will be going to the October one in Northfield at least. It's cheaper and only one night in a hotel. Sorina Higgins will be speaking at the one at UMass Amherst in November, which is a draw, but I am undecided about that one. I admit I am itching to have a longer drive for a conference, down to Mid-Atlantic or Appalachian states, but haven't found one that enchants yet.

AI Students: A Real-Life Study

A British Study measuring how detectable and how good AI-Generated examinations answers are: A "Turing Test" Case Study.

We report a rigorous, blind study in which we injected 100% AI written submissions into the examinations system in five undergraduate modules, across all years of study, for a BSc degree in Psychology at a reputable UK university. We found that 94% of our AI submissions were undetected. The grades awarded to our AI submissions were on average half a grade boundary higher than that achieved by real students. Across modules there was an 83.4% chance that the AI submissions on a module would outperform a random selection of the same number of real student submissions.

So they are generally undetectable and better than real pyschology students. Great.

I think AI would do less well in, say, math, but i could be flat wrong on that.  It might be better at math and even less detectable.  One of the problems with ChatGPT is that it will just make up plausible-sounding sources and information.  But if you tell it at the outset that you will lose your job if everything in this report is not true and verifiable, so it has to back everything up carefully, you get a less pleasing-sounding but much more solid report, according to Razib.*  It's an interesting world we are entering.

*Or was it Steve Hsu?  I'll have to look at the transcripts. Darn.  See, I'm already finishing behind AI on these things.

Sunday, August 11, 2024

Personal History From 2008

There is the Wyman Christmas Letter from 2007, which includes the expired passport story.

And the story about the nest being almost, finally empty after three tries. Not so fast, AVI. Less than a year later, Kyle came to live with us until about 2016, and Sons #3 and #4 needed another launch before full flight. Those are the ones that live on the Arctic Circle now.

Can't Get Enough of You Baby

The keyboard part sounds an awful lot like "96 Tears," dunnit?


I have mentioned for that ? went out on his own for awhile, but they all learned that doing that one song was their calling card?

Overheard On My Walk

Two old guys, talking animatedly about what buildings had been on a particular intersection in the 1960's, and how they or their fathers had known the owners. It just seemed like a conversation that is had every day all over the world.

Saturday, August 10, 2024

Politics in 2008, AVI Edition

It was the Age of Obamias, and too much of that dominated my posts in 2008.  Everything that is not eternal is immediately out-of-date, to paraphrase CS Lewis.  Still, some of these links are still valuable for their similarity to other eras and thus capturing larger truths, but mostly they are interesting in terms of what we thought then.  Or at least, what I thought.

I encourage not only the links, but very often, the comments, which include some of you who are still here.  David Foster has followed AVI for a long while, which surprised me. I don't know where he found me.

The Truth Seeps Out.  Just after Election Day 2008, the major news sources start publishing some negative things about Obama that they had somehow overlooked until then.  So that they could say they were honest hard-hitting journalists. 

Holyoke: The Belle Skinner Legacy a review of a fevered book about how wonderful this liberal woman had been, launching with how bad George Bush was a century later. Sure. That works.

Wellness Goes Green. Two goddesses of the age get together

Earth Day Predictions Gone Awry was already a staple then. 

Narcissism in Foreign Policy  Chelsea Clinton explains things for us.

Dirty Politics - Journalists were outraged that Republicans were planning on using Obama's record against him.  The nerve.

Les Misbarack 


At this point, comment here on any of these links, because only I will ever see them otherwise.