Wednesday, April 29, 2020
C19 Concentration
I doubt that NH is all that different from most other states in having C19 concentrated in a few areas. For those familiar with the state it is hardly surprising, as the darker areas are along the I-93 and Everett Turnpike commuter routes to Massachusetts and include the most populated areas - The Golden Triangle. The places that are disproportionate on the high side would be Dover, Bedford, Hanover, and Lebanon; disproportionate on the low side Keene, Tilton-Northfield, Berlin. I can guess at some reasons, but others are a puzzle to me. Plymouth State and Keene State likely didn't have as many students going abroad as Dartmouth did.
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I'm becoming more convinced that, although you'll get the occasional transfer unusual unusual conditions, the big danger to concentrate on is face-to-face intimate contact involving at least one person with active sneezing or coughing. Low-density areas are going to get some cases, but the big impact is where there are too many people jammed together coughing in each other's faces. Some people will be terribly unlucky and catch it from touching surfaces, breathing air in a big building, etc., but they are the outliers.
Air conditioning and heating ducts, also. That's a problem for hospitals, churches, schools, restaurants. That is probably a viral load issue, where it is mostly only bad luck if it's one infected person, but a problem for everyone if there are ten contagious but asymptomatic people breathing over the course of a morning
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