Megan McArdle: The existence of a problem does not imply the existence of a solution.
Ann Althouse: The war is over. We won. Iran just won't admit it, and we're not going to give them anything for holding out on admitting what is true.
Magatte Wade. Energy poverty kills more people than climate change ever will
Steve Stewart-Williams: IQ remains the strongest predictor of educational success, yet many teachers misunderstand it, underestimate the role of genetics, and embrace widely debunked ideas like Gardner’s multiple intelligences.
AVI: When your opponents are 50% insane by your estimate, you will never switch to them, even if your allies are 90% insane. At that "balance" you might go neutral, but you will not switch sides. Because...you see quite clearly that the other side is 50% nucking futs. You cannot leave your position until you have a place to land. Therefore, pointing out to people that their side is 90% insane will likely have no effect., They won't see it. All they will see is that some people on your side are upwards of 50% nuts. It's not very Bayesian, but it's how we think.
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