If you go to the Graph Paper Diaries post about Forrest Gump in the sidebar, you get a chance to reflect and comment on your own political development/changes. Good times.
Some people don't notice their sampling bias until they get their noses rubbed in it, if they even notice then. Madison was a hotbed of "Recall Walker" (the bumper sticker still survive) and the mood was jubilant until the returns came in, as Walker survived the recall by a larger fraction than his original election win. It didn't seem to inhibit continuing claims that "we represent the people of Wisconsin."
We have an insufficient data set to work with. I KNOW that mine is, although gathered in a number of different places during my life. I suspect that is generally true, but have no proof.
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Some people don't notice their sampling bias until they get their noses rubbed in it, if they even notice then. Madison was a hotbed of "Recall Walker" (the bumper sticker still survive) and the mood was jubilant until the returns came in, as Walker survived the recall by a larger fraction than his original election win. It didn't seem to inhibit continuing claims that "we represent the people of Wisconsin."
We have an insufficient data set to work with. I KNOW that mine is, although gathered in a number of different places during my life. I suspect that is generally true, but have no proof.
The article should encourage some humility in us.
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