Noah Carl at Aporia shows that all the common theories, left and right, are inadequate explanations. He offers some additional ones but believes it is ultimately going to prove multi-variate.
"Pascual Restrepo shows that violent crime rates remain much higher in prairie communities that were founded far from an RCMP fort during the settlement of the West between 1890 and 1920. What’s more, he says, the Mounties’ civilizing effect extends to the NHL: Statistics reveal that prairie-born players from areas historically outside the reach of the RCMP spent considerably more time in the penalty box during the past three decades." I'll note that the pattern continues for US states: The states farthest from prairie-province RCMP stations have the highest homicide rates, and the states closest have the fewest homicides per 100,000.
I'd be interested in who the settlers were before they got there, just as something to look at. Different European countries have different rates of violent crime.
That is the sort of thing that I'd hope to be able to create AI prompt questions to extract from datasets such as https://www.canada.ca/en/library-archives/collection/research-help/genealogy-family-history/censuses/prairie-provinces/1926.html I'm pretty convinced that -- just as the Amish practice of allowing members to freely leave through a one-way door is genetically optimizing for more compliant/ less-individualistic members, pre WW2 migration patterns to the USA have given us a share of each nationality where the ones most-likely-to-be-socially-troublesome are overrepresented. So in the study referenced above, I think the causation is backwards: RCMP didn't make the area near to them peaceful. It was more that the people not wanting to be controlled and the people wanting peace self-selected and migrated accordingly to places with or without RCMP presence. The current cheat code to measure this type of thing is asking people their opinions of how desirable it is to live in a neighborhood with a Homeowners Association.
The furthest from the RCMP? I'm a good long way from them, true. Or anyone; just as far as I could get.
Though lately I've been feeling like I should go even farther, if I could find a place. Maybe New Mexico. Somewhere with fewer population pressures, and more distance. Wyoming, perhaps.
5 comments:
"Pascual Restrepo shows that violent crime rates remain much higher in prairie communities that were founded far from an RCMP fort during the settlement of the West between 1890 and 1920.
What’s more, he says, the Mounties’ civilizing effect extends to the NHL: Statistics reveal that prairie-born players from areas historically outside the reach of the RCMP spent considerably more time in the penalty box during the past three decades."
I'll note that the pattern continues for US states: The states farthest from prairie-province RCMP stations have the highest homicide rates, and the states closest have the fewest homicides per 100,000.
I'd be interested in who the settlers were before they got there, just as something to look at. Different European countries have different rates of violent crime.
That is the sort of thing that I'd hope to be able to create AI prompt questions to extract from datasets such as https://www.canada.ca/en/library-archives/collection/research-help/genealogy-family-history/censuses/prairie-provinces/1926.html
I'm pretty convinced that -- just as the Amish practice of allowing members to freely leave through a one-way door is genetically optimizing for more compliant/ less-individualistic members, pre WW2 migration patterns to the USA have given us a share of each nationality where the ones most-likely-to-be-socially-troublesome are overrepresented.
So in the study referenced above, I think the causation is backwards: RCMP didn't make the area near to them peaceful. It was more that the people not wanting to be controlled and the people wanting peace self-selected and migrated accordingly to places with or without RCMP presence.
The current cheat code to measure this type of thing is asking people their opinions of how desirable it is to live in a neighborhood with a Homeowners Association.
Great search of the data. I think Grim would have moved to such a place.
The furthest from the RCMP? I'm a good long way from them, true. Or anyone; just as far as I could get.
Though lately I've been feeling like I should go even farther, if I could find a place. Maybe New Mexico. Somewhere with fewer population pressures, and more distance. Wyoming, perhaps.
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