Monday, August 25, 2025

Additions, Stability, and Prosperity

A good way to keep track of financial conditions in mid-century America is to start from the knowledge that the percentage of people below the  poverty level was 49% in 1940 and 40% in 1949. This would be the end of the Great Depression, to the early years of the Baby Boom.  Prosperity did not start immediately after the war. There were not enough housing and jobs for the returning soldiers and sailors - women had a lot of them, and until they married and their husbands found work they would be foolish to leave them. Therefore rents were higher and wages were lower. This gradually improved because there were lots of men with high confidence and maturity who were willing to do things for themselves, having just done something for the rest of us, and women who had both more skills and more confidence, combined with a desire to get married and have what was considered a stable, normal, life.  

People my age immediately mentally fit their own childhoods and their parents into this.  To a lesser extent we consider our grandparents' experiences. Yet in both cases, we know much more about how those stories ended than how they began. We are fairly automatic in comparing those national norms to the families in our towns and neighborhoods, and perhaps our cousins as well. Yet even when we were there, we don't get the full picture.  As Garrison Keillor once wisely pointed out in his story "Hog Slaughter," we believe times were simpler then because we were children, and our needs were looked after by others.  But it wasn't simpler for those others, not a bit. 

There is a lot of online complaining these days of how easy the Boomers and Greatest Generation had it financially when one compares it to today. House prices look so low! Well, yes, but lots of people lived in apartments, mobile homes, and even boarding houses and tenements, remember?  If houses were so cheap  wages were so comparatively good and houses so cheap, why didn't everyone have one? Housing prices went up dramatically in many places around 2020 and remained high. To young people, it must seem as if the goal posts have been moved. But the ratio of housing prices to wages was comparable to now from 1978-88, and was even much worse 1980-84.  There was another peak 2004-07 nearly as high as now. Three things are driving the false impression of unprecedented high house prices: not understanding overall inflation clearly, failing to account for interest, taxes, and maintenance, and surprisingly, the historically low, affordable ratios from 2010-2020. That really is enough to account for the resentment, but I have some things to add.

Those houses built in the 50s - 80s aren't the same houses now.  They have additions - garages, bedrooms, dormers, porches, whole floors, outbuildings, pools, paved driveways, bay windows, fences and stonework, breezeways - and that's just the exteriors. They have refinished basements, kitchens that are not just maintenance replacements, but significant upgrades, better bathrooms, better heating and especially cooling systems. A woman a little older than me remarked to her daughter-in-law recently that she could tell the neighborhood was stable because so many of the houses had additions. I had not thought of that, but it is true that people add on rooms for living there, not for resale. Stability is also a kind of wealth. Related to this is what I noted at the beginning.  We all know the later story of our grandparents, parents, and even our own houses, and this is true for our children and grandchildren as well. They may not expect a house as good as their parents', but they do want something that is about halfway along the progress line right out of the gate.

Let me add that I have lived in terrible houses and driven terrible cars. It doesn't much matter. 

 

3 comments:

Randomizer said...

There is a lot of online complaining these days of how easy the Boomers and Greatest Generation had it financially when one compares it to today.

Perhaps the complaining is just for sport. Early life for Boomers and the Greatest Generation is just to different to comprehend.

My dad fought the Nazis, and I just got on Medicare.

My dad, with help from my uncle, build their house, a tiny two bedroom ranch, in 1950. Mom, dad and two babies lived in the garage until the roof was on the house, then they moved up when the interior was done. In the next 20 years, two additions had been added to the house.

Dad's hobbies were fixing the house, cars or working in the garden. Mom's hobbies were making quilts, making some kind of braided rugs from old clothing and canning.

There was just nothing to do in outer-ring suburbs until about 1975. By having productive leisure activities, you'd have more stuff and live more comfortably.

For Boomers, the stock market was on fire during the Reagan years. If a Boomer didn't get swept up in the excesses, but could be smart about investing, over time, the wealth would build. Buy a house with good bones, learn to do some work yourself, fix it up, and you'd make out when you sold it.

My nieces and nephews don't want a house if they aren't married with children. If they want a house, they want one that is three-bedroom with central air and a reasonable yard in a non-threatening neighborhood. It must be move-in ready, with no immediate work needed.

They'd rather have no stuff, than hand-me-down old stuff. Their spare time goes to social media, rather than fixing stuff. They both work, so you can't blame them.

There was a time when everybody was poor when they were in college. Not poor-poor, but crammed into old dorms or shitty, off-campus housing. My roommate's dad ran a company and owned three airplanes, but he ate ramen noodles and worked on campus like the rest of us.

That changed in the 1990's as universities started jacking up the price and competing for students. Everything got much nicer.


Cranberry said...

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/the-household-debt-to-income-ratio-and-house-prices-in-the-us-19502017?time=1952..latest

The household debt to income ratio was 35.76 in 1950. House prices start being tracked in 1975 on this chart. At that point it was 17.62. (household debt to income ratio was 62.68 in 1975).

In 2016 household debt to income ratio is 105.2. Home price index is 115.11.

So, I venture to say that yes, the Boomers and greatest generation had it much easier financially than today.

Cranberry said...

Student debt is non-dischargeable in bankruptcy, as of the Bankruptcy Abuse Prevention and Consumer Protection Act of 2005.

Cash for Clunkers removed many used cars from the market. The average price for a used car is now near $30,000. It is also alleged that the financing deals offered can be disadvantageous: https://www.consumerreports.org/money/car-financing/many-americans-overpay-for-car-loans-a8076436935/

You could not buy the houses offered in 1950 today. The building code is drastically different. You need a mortgage to afford the house, in order to get a mortgage you need title insurance, the house has to meet code, etc.

I am certain modest houses would fly off the market, if they were on offer today. The lowest priced houses that are not tear downs sell very quickly. However, when a building lot is $400,000, the new houses are much more expensive than they used to be just to cover the builders' costs.