“The only explanation that gets the timing right is a version of the Ferguson effect,” Rosenfeld said. Now, he said, that’s his “leading hypothesis”.I don't know myself. The Ferguson effect has always sounded plausible to me, but I thought it might have confounding factors. I will note, however, that it is irresponsible for people like Barack Obama, Loretta Lynch, and Eric Holder to go around saying it's not true.
Sunday, June 12, 2016
Ferguson Effect
It is important to note, even if it is happening, it's not happening everywhere. But it's intersting that a researcher trying to disprove it has come around to the idea that a version of it might be true, and is in fact his current leading explanation. Caution: This is the Guardian. Even when they go against liberal pieties they should be viewed suspiciously. Caution #2. This is still a fairly small sample size.
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I suspect part of the resistance to The Ferguson Effect is it seems just too, too obvious. It seems to be what a sensible person would expect to happen, therefore (or thus) it MUST be wrong.
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