tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19305198.post1987762441467912627..comments2024-03-27T03:19:11.216-04:00Comments on Assistant Village Idiot: The Truman Show WorldAssistant Village Idiothttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01978011985085795099noreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19305198.post-33240809952686867512018-09-24T05:19:28.290-04:002018-09-24T05:19:28.290-04:00I read the statement a couple of times again, and ...I read the statement a couple of times again, and I think I see the needle that was being threaded. If someone doesn't want to directly deny my account of activities but knows they aren't accurate, and also honestly doesn't know X then it makes sense to focus on that.Christopher Bhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00396671757183163171noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19305198.post-3580841577249640322018-09-23T21:15:31.465-04:002018-09-23T21:15:31.465-04:00Tough question to answer. Shakespeare's "...Tough question to answer. Shakespeare's "The lady doth protest too much methinks," has truth in it, but there aren't simple rules. I think a one-sentence simple denial is likely to be true, and elaboration is less convincing. However, when people are nervous - and one might be nervous even if one is innocent - they tend to babble and try to convince people. In doing so, they sometimes exaggerate in hopes of convincing people and making them go away. The police and other investigators use this when they interrogate someone. People get nervous and won't shut up, and in their effort to show they are really good people, will say things like "I've never even been to Virginia Beach." Then it turns out that they bought gas in Virginia Beach four years ago on their way to someplace else. But that doesn't mean they were guilty of the robbery in Virginia Beach they are being questioned about.<br /><br />Also, once you know the rules interrogators and cross-examiners operate by you can game that. If simple answers seem more believable, then lie simply.Assistant Village Idiothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17242756598374658735noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19305198.post-38404928792856816562018-09-23T16:31:14.470-04:002018-09-23T16:31:14.470-04:00I've revised my opinion in this but want to ch...I've revised my opinion in this but want to check something if you see this AVI.<br /><br />Are expansive denials more or less likely to be true? Somewhat specifically, if I ask someone did you see X and I at a party, and they deny knowing X at all, is the broadness of the denial a tell? What about if this is not an off-the-cuff statement but one likely prepared with counsel?Christopher Bhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00396671757183163171noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19305198.post-19853696710061850072018-09-19T20:59:27.379-04:002018-09-19T20:59:27.379-04:00I agree with Tex. I happen to think this is plaus...I agree with Tex. I happen to think this is plausibly-likely a false memory, or a faulty one; but that's more to do with the fuzziness of the memory and the fact that no one seems to share it. However, 'entitled footballer at elite prep school gets has a couple too many beers and takes liberties with bathing-suit-clad female party guest' is the plot of <i>Animal House</i>, except set in a wealthy high school instead of college; it's not implausible or hard to believe in the slightest except in the context of all the strangeness about the particular case.<br /><br />I'm not allowed to say the rest of what Tex said, though I agree with that part too; and anyway, I've been told by a sitting Senator to shut up. Thus, I'll just return to my Mountain Tribe meditations in the forest.Grimhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07543082562999855432noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19305198.post-38319546063016068392018-09-19T11:04:19.858-04:002018-09-19T11:04:19.858-04:00Could it have happened? Might an otherwise decent...Could it have happened? Might an otherwise decent guy have exercised bad judgment in his cups without fully realizing or remembering the likely impact of his behavior on a young girl clearly too naive to be hanging around with older drunk guys? Sure, it might have. Nevertheless, I'd have to be a lot more sure than I could possibly be at this great distance in time, to be willing to trash a man's reputation over it. The whole thing is insane. If it happened at all, it's far too late to figure it out now. Ford should be ashamed of herself, dragging it out this way, so late, so vague, so unsubstantiated. If a brief wrestle with a drunk guy or two at a party could ruin her life, this isn't her biggest problem. She's a poster child for movements to keep young women locked up "for their own safety," and arguments to prevent their holding jobs or positions of authority: they're just too fragile. This is how you get purdah and chaperones and little princesses who go straight from Daddy to an all-powerful husband.Texan99https://www.blogger.com/profile/10479561573903660086noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19305198.post-36227342738791288962018-09-18T20:00:30.610-04:002018-09-18T20:00:30.610-04:00Re the Mountain People and the City People, I just...Re the Mountain People and the City People, I just ran across this interesting quote from Jane Austen:<br /><br />"In the country, an unpremeditated dance was very allowable; but in London, where the reputation of elegance was more important and less easily attained, it was risking too much for the gratification of a few girls, to have it known that Lady Middleton had given a small dance of eight or nine couple, with two violins, and a mere side-board collation."<br /><br />To be added to the City Mouse vs Country Mouse file.David Fosterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15464681514800720063noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19305198.post-87850935037966944192018-09-18T18:21:57.398-04:002018-09-18T18:21:57.398-04:00Yep, the distinction between "individual"...Yep, the distinction between "individual" and "group distribution" characteristics is even lost on people who you'd think would know better, who deal with samples and distributions of characteristics daily. I will not name names.jameshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01792036361407527304noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19305198.post-57348696427170090632018-09-18T17:33:31.182-04:002018-09-18T17:33:31.182-04:00From what I've seen, and absent an amazing rev...From what I've seen, and absent an amazing revelation by Monday, I think two things are true.<br /><br />This incident, or something much like it, happened to Mrs. Ford in high school.<br /><br />Mr Kavanaugh can not be tied to that incident beyond reasonable doubt.Christopher Bhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00396671757183163171noreply@blogger.com